The Nation: First Exit Poll

Exit poll results show PPP wins

Suan Dusit Rajabhat University Exit Poll

As of 3 pm, 23 December 2007

How many constituency-based MPs and party-list MPs each party get?

People Power Party, 221 + 35 = 256

Democrat Party, 127 + 35 = 162

Chart Thai Party, 24 + 5 = 29

Ruamjai Thai Chart Pattana, 14 + 1 = 15

Peua Paendin, 8 + 2 = 10

Pracharaj Party, 3 + 1 = 4

Matchima Thipataya Party, 3 + 1 = 4


The reason I am blogging this is because I think this reflects realty.

Now, let us see how much the final result conflicts with this exit polling.

If exit polling is done right, it can be considered a credible and accurate sample, so if there is big discrepancy between the exit polling and the result that can be considered a sign of electoral shenanigans.